North Kent’s go-to spot when the wind goes northerly. Best in NW, N, and NE — NW and N are the sweet spot. SW is specifically flagged as UNSAFE here — do not launch in a southwesterly. Works at both high and low tide in the right conditions. Flat-to-chop, small waves in stronger northerlies. Suitable for most levels when conditions are right.
Public-model blend: Met Office UKV 2km (direct), Met Office Global 10km (direct), AROME-FR, IFS-HRES, ICON, GFS (via Open-Meteo) and MET Norway, averaged across every model that covers each hour, out to day 7; temperature from the Met Office feeds
Last updated
Page rebuilt: 14 November 2026 07:20 GMT Forecast data: 14 November 2026 06:30 GMT Tide data: 14 November 2026 07:20 GMT
📏 Tide heights — next 7 days(chart datum at Sheerness)
No measured beach/groyne height for this spot yet — log a beach report to add one.
🧭 Wind directions
Minster Leas, Isle of Sheppey, faces ~N into the estuary. Onshore is the NW–NE quadrant; S winds are offshore over the island. HARD NO 2.5 h either side of HW (groynes, no beach).
green = works (brightest = side-on) · blue = cross-shore · orange = side-off / unproven (care) · red = offshore, never · grey = excluded locally
Next 7 days at MinsterLighter option: Thu 19 Nov ~12 kt — marginal — big kites (15 m+)/foils. Models diverge on Monday: UKV 16 kt vs AROME 10 kt — lower confidence; lead model here is UKV 2km, check both before driving.
Windguru forecast
7-day forecast
Wind scale:<1010–1112–1314–1516–1920–2930+ kt ⚠
Public-model blend, for the full 7 days: The Met Office UKV 2km and Global 10km runs are read directly from the Met Office open-data feeds; AROME-FR 1.3km, IFS-HRES 9km, ICON and GFS come via Open-Meteo, plus MET Norway. Direction is a circular mean; gusts average only the models that publish an hourly-maximum gust. These numbers are raw model output with no coastal correction, so in the same weather they can read a little lighter than a coastally-corrected forecast — treat them as a floor rather than a ceiling. Temperature is from the Met Office runs (interpolated between 3-hourly steps on later days). No sea-state data is available. Tides from UKHO Admiralty (BST, 7-day window). The Windguru widget above is the unmodified Windguru forecast and is a useful cross-check.
Marginal — ~12 kt, big kites only. Peak ~12 kt NNE in the tide window. marginal — big kites (15 m+)/foils — most riders won't get planing; 15 m+/foil specialists only.
Pick a past day to compare three things: the forecast we published (frozen before each hour, never revised afterwards), the wind that actually happened (Open-Meteo reanalysis, hours 05:00–21:00 UK), and what the live weather stations near the spot actually recorded (amber, from 2 Aug 2026). You can go right up to today — today shows the forecast and the live stations; the reanalysis for today lands tomorrow morning.
Important: Forecasts are model-derived and may change. Always verify on Windguru and check local tide tables before you go. LKSA accepts no liability for decisions made based on this forecast.